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Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Bristol City

Blackburn
3 - 0
Bristol City

Travis (17'), Ohashi (55', 70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McNally (11'), Sykes (44'), Mehmeti (74'), Roberts (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Blackburn
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 3-0 Bristol City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Bristol City

With Bristol City extra motivated to bounce back from their heavy defeat to Derby, we expect them to run Blackburn close on Saturday. However, the home side have only impressed this campaign and that could continue at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawBristol City
40.36% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 26.49% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 33.15% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.12% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.35% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)52.65% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.71% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)74.29% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)25.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.55% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)29.89% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)65.99% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 40.35%
    Bristol City 33.15%
    Draw 26.48%
Blackburn RoversDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.43% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.57% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 40.35%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 7.67% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 9.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 33.15%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Bristol City

Blackburn Rovers
64.3%
Draw
17.9%
Bristol City
17.9%
56
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 42
Bristol City
5-0
Blackburn
Conway (24', 32' pen.), Mehmeti (73'), Wells (78' pen., 90+6')
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Blackburn
2-1
Bristol City
Sigurdsson (35'), Wharton (52')
Carter (22'), Brittain (85'), Szmodics (88'), Travis (89')
Sykes (60')
Knight (51')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Blackburn
2-3
Bristol City
Dolan (71'), Brereton Diaz (90+3')
Wharton (7'), Pickering (67')
Conway (42'), Wells (55', 73')
James (57'), Scott (58')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Blackburn
0-1
Bristol City

Khadra (49')
Weimann (90+2')
Scott (26'), Bentley (87'), Weimann (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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