MX23RW : Wednesday, May 14 14:18:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Norwich logo
Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Leeds logo

Norwich
1 - 1
Leeds

Sargent (15' pen.)
Struijk (8'), Doyle (38'), Bogle (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ramazani (60')
Farke (9'), Rothwell (23'), Sargent (30'), Gnonto (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 2-3 Norwich
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Coventry
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-2 Leeds United

Leeds have largely been defensively excellent this season; they may not be able to keep a clean sheet on Tuesday due to Norwich's quality in the final third of the field, but we are still backing the Whites to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.97%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawLeeds United
25.38% (0.073 0.07) 22.65% (0.218 0.22) 51.97% (-0.28899999999999 -0.29)
Both teams to score 59.98% (-0.70200000000001 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.89% (-0.962 -0.96)40.11% (0.963 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.52% (-1.002 -1)62.48% (1.002 1)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)28.97% (0.458 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.13% (-0.57 -0.57)64.87% (0.572 0.57)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (-0.44 -0.44)15.55% (0.441 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.52% (-0.828 -0.83)44.48% (0.829 0.83)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 25.38%
    Leeds United 51.97%
    Draw 22.65%
Norwich CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 6.43% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.58% (0.176 0.18)
2-0 @ 3.46% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.66% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.43% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 25.38%
1-1 @ 10.38% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.5% (0.197 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.65%
1-2 @ 9.67% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.243 0.24)
0-2 @ 7.8% (0.109 0.11)
1-3 @ 6% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-3 @ 4.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.72% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2.79% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-4 @ 2.25% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.73% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.04% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 51.97%

How you voted: Norwich vs Leeds

Norwich City
34.9%
Draw
14.7%
Leeds United
50.5%
109
Head to Head
May 16, 2024 8pm
Leeds
4-0
Norwich
Gruev (7'), Piroe (20'), Rutter (40'), Summerville (68')
Gruev (54'), Rutter (56')

Rowe (37'), McLean (90+1')
May 12, 2024 12pm
Jan 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
1-0
Norwich
Bamford (16')
Firpo (69')

Gibson (44'), Giannoulis (47')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Norwich
2-3
Leeds
Duffy (4'), Sara (43')
Duffy (10'), Sara (34')
Duffy (63' og.), Summerville (77', 85')
Summerville (19'), Rodon (45+1'), Meslier (87')
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
2-1
Norwich
Rodrigo (14'), Gelhardt (90+4')
Ayling (26'), Harrison (71'), James (77')
McLean (90+1')
Gunn (15'), Aarons (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!