MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 15:58:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 14
Nov 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Watford logo

Swansea
1 - 0
Watford

Peart-Harris (35')
Grimes (40'), Franco (44'), Peart-Harris (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ebosele (26'), Sierralta (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, November 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-6 Watford
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-3 Watford

The visitors have enjoyed the much better beginning to the 2024-25 campaign, and despite Swansea boasting the home advantage, we believe Watford will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for Watford had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swansea City in this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawWatford
51.05% (0.052 0.05) 24.04% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 24.91% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.8% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (0.044999999999995 0.04)46.75% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (0.042999999999999 0.04)69.01% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.67% (0.036000000000001 0.04)18.33% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.57% (0.063000000000002 0.06)49.43% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.1% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)32.91% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.48% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 51.05%
    Watford 24.91%
    Draw 24.03%
Swansea CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.68% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.91% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.32% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 51.05%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.03%
0-1 @ 6.7% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 24.91%

How you voted: Swansea vs Watford

Swansea City
19.5%
Draw
18.4%
Watford
62.1%
87
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Watford
1-1
Swansea
Porteous (57')
Chakvetadze (45+1'), Livermore (45+3'), Andrews (67'), Porteous (83')
Andrews (18' og.)
Tymon (32'), Wood (36')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Swansea
0-1
Watford
Sema (82')
Livermore (30'), Hoedt (73'), Kayembe (86')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Swansea
4-0
Watford
Piroe (39', 78'), Cullen (74'), Latibeaudiere (87')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Sarr (34')
Ntcham (52'), Cabango (90+8')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Watford
2-0
Swansea
Gray (56'), Success (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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