

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 50.42%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Swansea City |
| 50.42% ( | 23.82% ( | 25.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.92% ( | 45.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.57% ( | 67.42% ( |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.06% ( | 17.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.24% ( | 48.75% ( |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.68% ( | 31.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.32% ( | 67.67% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% ( 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 2-0 @ 8.29% ( 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 3-0 @ 4.75% ( 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 4-2 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 3.59% Total : 50.42% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.81% | 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 1-2 @ 6.51% ( 0-2 @ 3.79% ( 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 2.8% Total : 25.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 74 | 23 | 51 | 79 |
| 2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 24 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 77 |
| 3 | Burnley | 37 | 20 | 15 | 2 | 50 | 11 | 39 | 75 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 55 | 34 | 21 | 69 |
| 5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 37 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 56 |
| 6 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 56 |
| 7 | Bristol City | 37 | 13 | 15 | 9 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 54 |
| 8 | Middlesbrough | 37 | 15 | 8 | 14 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 53 |
| 9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 52 |
| 10 | Watford | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 52 |
| 11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 53 | 58 | -5 | 51 |
| 12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 59 | 52 | 7 | 49 |
| 13 | Millwall | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 48 |
| 14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 44 |
| 15 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 9 | 17 | 11 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 44 |
| 16 | Swansea CitySwansea | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 42 |
| 18 | Hull City | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 40 |
| 19 | Stoke CityStoke | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 39 |
| 20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 39 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 36 |
| 22 | Derby CountyDerby | 37 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 35 |
| 23 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 34 |
| 24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 37 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 38 | 74 | -36 | 33 |
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