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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Swansea logo

Watford
1 - 1
Swansea

Porteous (57')
Chakvetadze (45+1'), Livermore (45+3'), Andrews (67'), Porteous (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Andrews (18' og.)
Tymon (32'), Wood (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Watford and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Watford
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Blackburn
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Swansea City

Although these two clubs will expect to remain in the Championship, the stakes are high for both sides, who are aware that defeat could lead to becoming embroiled in a relegation scrap. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a draw be played out at Vicarage Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 50.42%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
WatfordDrawSwansea City
50.42% (0.106 0.11) 23.82% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02) 25.76% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 56.36% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.92% (0.039000000000001 0.04)45.07% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.57% (0.039000000000001 0.04)67.42% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (0.057000000000002 0.06)17.93% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24% (0.095999999999997 0.1)48.75% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.68% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)31.32% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.32% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)67.67% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Watford 50.42%
    Swansea City 25.76%
    Draw 23.81%
WatfordDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.29% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.52% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 50.42%
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 6.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.51% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 25.76%

How you voted: Watford vs Swansea

Watford
39.8%
Draw
25.9%
Swansea City
34.3%
108
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Swansea
0-1
Watford
Sema (82')
Livermore (30'), Hoedt (73'), Kayembe (86')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Swansea
4-0
Watford
Piroe (39', 78'), Cullen (74'), Latibeaudiere (87')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Sarr (34')
Ntcham (52'), Cabango (90+8')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Watford
2-0
Swansea
Gray (56'), Success (87')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
Swansea
2-1
Watford
Lowe (43', 67')
Guehi (21'), Bidwell (33'), Grimes (45+1')
Cleverley (20')
Chalobah (42'), Masina (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds372310474235179
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd37247652282477
3Burnley372015250113975
4Sunderland371912655342169
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom371317747331456
6Coventry CityCoventry37168135248456
7Bristol City37131594740754
8Middlesbrough37158145748953
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn37157154138352
10Watford37157154750-352
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds37149145358-551
12Norwich CityNorwich371213125952749
13Millwall371212133639-348
14Queens Park RangersQPR371111154248-644
15Preston North EndPreston37917113743-644
16Swansea CitySwansea37128173847-944
17Portsmouth37119174559-1442
18Hull City371010173846-840
19Stoke CityStoke37912163750-1339
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd37912163855-1739
21Cardiff CityCardiff37812174061-2136
22Derby CountyDerby3798203749-1235
23Luton TownLuton3797213460-2634
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth37712183874-3633


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