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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 25
Mar 13, 2025 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
2 - 1
Al Riyadh

Diaby (55'), Al-Shehri (90+11' pen.)
Haidar Al Nashri (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bayesh (81')
Haji (83'), Haji (83'), Assiri (90+9'), Hussain Tambakti (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al Riyadh, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Quadisiya 1-1 Al Ittihad
Thursday, March 6 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Riyadh 1-0 Al Okhdood
Saturday, March 8 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ittihad 2-1 Al Riyadh

While Al Riyadh will have renewed confidence from their return to winning ways and will make it tough for an Al Ittihad side on the back of three straight draws, the hosts have more than enough quality to bounce back and should come out on top on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 75.88%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 9.72%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.49%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 1-2 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Al Ittihad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al Ittihad.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl Riyadh
75.88% (0.11499999999999 0.11) 14.4% (-0.055 -0.05) 9.72% (-0.054099999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 55.41% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.3% (0.116 0.12)29.7% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.17% (0.14100000000001 0.14)50.82% (-0.137 -0.14)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.51% (0.049999999999997 0.05)6.49% (-0.0449 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.76% (0.128 0.13)24.24% (-0.123 -0.12)
Al Riyadh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.26% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)40.74% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.67% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)77.33% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 75.88%
    Al Riyadh 9.72%
    Draw 14.4%
Al IttihadDrawAl Riyadh
2-0 @ 9.89% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.02% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 8.1% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.23% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 6.16% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 5.54% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.63%
5-0 @ 3.37% (0.022 0.02)
5-1 @ 3.03% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.49% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.54% (0.014 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.38% (0.011 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.36% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 75.88%
1-1 @ 6.49% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.64% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 14.4%
1-2 @ 2.92% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-1 @ 2.37% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 9.72%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al Riyadh

Al Ittihad
100%
Draw
0.0%
Al Riyadh
0.0%
18
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 8
Al Riyadh
0-1
Al Ittihad

Al-Khaibari (45+1'), Assiri (66')
Al Sahafi (28')
Kante (45+2')
Mitaj (48'), Aouar (69'), Al Amri (84')
Feb 18, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 20
Al Ittihad
2-0
Al Riyadh
Hamdallah (12', 90+7')
Al-Ghamdi (49')

Al-Shuwayyi (82'), Al Oqil (90+3')
Aug 24, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 3
Al Riyadh
0-4
Al Ittihad

Kurdi (45+1'), Al Khaibari (64'), Mohammed Al-Dosari (74')
Benzema (17'), Hamdallah (25' pen., 45+10'), Al-Amri (90+3')
Mustafa Shanqeeti (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad29215366303668
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal29195579344562
3Al-Nassr29186562332960
4Al-AhliAl-Ahli29184760293158
5Al Quadisiya29175742261656
6Al ShababAl Shabab30156955361951
7Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun29118103430441
8Al Ettifaq29117113741-440
9Al Riyadh3098133244-1235
10Al Khaleej2997133447-1334
11Al Fateh3096154054-1433
12Damac2987143546-1131
13Al Kholood2994163555-2031
14Al Fayha29612112341-1830
15Al Orubah3093182861-3330
16Al WahdaAl Wahda3085173861-2329
17Al Okhdood3077162943-1428
18Al RaedAl Raed2963203654-1821


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