We said: Djurgardens IF 2-1 Pafos FC
We think that this tie has the potential to go the distance, and it could end up going all the way to penalties.
Pafos have had an impressive season both domestically and in Europe, and we believe that they may score in a defeat here, which would see the tie go to the lottery of a penalty shootout.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 48.93%. A win for Pafos FC had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Pafos FC win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.