

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Watford win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Leicester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Leicester City |
| 34.28% ( | 23.27% ( | 42.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.24% ( | 37.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.99% ( | 60% ( |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.9% ( | 22.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.54% ( | 55.45% ( |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.75% ( | 18.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.71% ( | 49.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 1-0 @ 6.09% ( 2-0 @ 4.6% ( 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 4-2 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 3.45% Total : 34.28% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0-0 @ 4.03% ( 3-3 @ 1.9% ( Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0-2 @ 5.83% ( 1-3 @ 5% ( 2-3 @ 3.77% ( 0-3 @ 3.31% 1-4 @ 2.12% ( 2-4 @ 1.6% ( 0-4 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 3.73% Total : 42.44% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
| P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
| 3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
| 5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
| 6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
| 7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
| 8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
| 9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
| 10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
| 11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
| 12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
| 13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
| 14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
| 15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
| 16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
| 17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
| 18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
| 19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
| 20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
| 21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
| R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
| R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
| R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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