FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Den
Millwall
2 - 3
Leicester
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Millwall
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Huddersfield
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Millwall 1-2 Leicester City
Both managers will make changes to their strongest sides for this match, but it should still be a very competitive contest. Millwall have home advantage, but Leicester have been so strong this season, and we are backing the visitors to secure their position in the fourth round of the tournament. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Leicester City |
29.48% ( 0.26) | 26.4% ( 0.12) | 44.12% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 50.93% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
