

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 36.67% ( | 27.68% ( | 35.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.95% ( | 57.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.06% ( | 77.94% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.15% ( | 29.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.07% ( | 65.93% ( |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.51% ( | 30.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.3% ( | 66.7% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 2-0 @ 6.65% ( 3-1 @ 3.18% ( 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 4-1 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.67% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 2-2 @ 4.69% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 10.8% ( 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0-2 @ 6.42% ( 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0-3 @ 2.54% ( 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 1-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 35.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 39 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 29 | 27 | 83 |
| 2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 39 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 78 | 27 | 51 | 81 |
| 3 | Burnley | 39 | 22 | 15 | 2 | 53 | 11 | 42 | 81 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 39 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 56 | 37 | 19 | 72 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 39 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 59 |
| 6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 39 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 57 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 57 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 39 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 57 |
| 9 | Watford | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 61 | 54 | 7 | 52 |
| 11 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 52 |
| 12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 52 |
| 13 | Millwall | 39 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 51 |
| 14 | Preston North EndPreston | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 47 |
| 15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 45 |
| 16 | Swansea CitySwansea | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 45 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 45 |
| 18 | Stoke CityStoke | 39 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 42 |
| 19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 39 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 42 |
| 20 | Hull City | 39 | 10 | 11 | 18 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 41 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 40 |
| 22 | Derby CountyDerby | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 38 |
| 23 | Luton TownLuton | 39 | 10 | 8 | 21 | 35 | 60 | -25 | 38 |
| 24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 39 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 40 | 77 | -37 | 34 |
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