We said: Heracles 1-1 FC Twente
Boosted by an upturn in form before the international break, and boasting a particularly strong home record having not been beaten at the Asito Stadion in over five months, we back Heracles to take a share of the spoils against a dangerous FC Twente side on Sunday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
0.14) 
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