
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 85.94%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 4.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.09%) and 4-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.74%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (1.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Almere City |
| 85.94% ( | 9.98% ( | 4.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 39.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.29% ( | 31.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.77% ( | 53.23% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.93% ( | 5.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 79.83% ( | 20.17% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.56% ( | 58.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 10.16% ( | 89.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-0 @ 13.16% ( 3-0 @ 13.09% ( 4-0 @ 9.76% ( 1-0 @ 8.83% ( 2-1 @ 7.07% ( 3-1 @ 7.03% ( 5-0 @ 5.83% ( 4-1 @ 5.25% ( 5-1 @ 3.13% ( 6-0 @ 2.9% ( 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 6-1 @ 1.56% ( 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 7-0 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 3.8% Total : 85.93% | 1-1 @ 4.74% ( 0-0 @ 2.96% ( 2-2 @ 1.9% ( Other @ 0.37% Total : 9.98% | 0-1 @ 1.59% ( 1-2 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 1.22% Total : 4.09% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 74 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 89 | 34 | 55 | 67 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 68 | 32 | 36 | 62 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 48 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 47 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 47 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 36 |
| 10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 35 |
| 11 | Groningen | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 35 |
| 12 | Heracles | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 35 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 33 |
| 14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 32 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
| 16 | Willem II | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 20 |
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 62 | -27 | 19 |
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