
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 85.94%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 4.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.09%) and 4-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.74%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (1.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Almere City | 
| 85.94% (  0.31) | 9.98% (  -0.21) | 4.09% (  -0.11) | 
| Both teams to score 39.45% (  -0) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 68.29% (  0.51) | 31.71% (  -0.51) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 46.77% (  0.59) | 53.23% (  -0.59) | 
| FC Twente Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 94.93% (  0.15) | 5.06% (  -0.15) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 79.83% (  0.44) | 20.17% (  -0.44) | 
| Almere City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 41.56% (  -0.07) | 58.44% (  0.07) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 10.16% (  -0.04) | 89.83% (  0.04) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| FC Twente | Draw | Almere City | 
| 2-0 @ 13.16% (  -0.11) 3-0 @ 13.09% (  0.02) 4-0 @ 9.76% (  0.11) 1-0 @ 8.83% (  -0.16) 2-1 @ 7.07% (  -0.07) 3-1 @ 7.03% (  -0) 5-0 @ 5.83% (  0.12) 4-1 @ 5.25% (  0.05) 5-1 @ 3.13% (  0.06) 6-0 @ 2.9% (  0.09) 3-2 @ 1.89% (  -0) 6-1 @ 1.56% (  0.04) 4-2 @ 1.41% (  0.01) 7-0 @ 1.23% (  0.05) Other @ 3.8% Total : 85.93% | 1-1 @ 4.74% (  -0.1) 0-0 @ 2.96% (  -0.08) 2-2 @ 1.9% (  -0.02) Other @ 0.37% Total : 9.98% | 0-1 @ 1.59% (  -0.05) 1-2 @ 1.27% (  -0.03) Other @ 1.22% Total : 4.09% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 74 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 89 | 34 | 55 | 67 | 
| 3 | Feyenoord | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 68 | 32 | 36 | 62 | 
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 62 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 48 | 
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 47 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 47 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 | 
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 36 | 
| 10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 35 | 
| 11 | Groningen | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 35 | 
| 12 | Heracles | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 35 | 
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 33 | 
| 14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 32 | 
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 | 
| 16 | Willem II | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 24 | 
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 20 | 
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 62 | -27 | 19 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
