Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.