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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2025 at 2pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Rotherham logo

Stevenage
1 - 1
Rotherham

Sweeney (90+2')
Piergianni (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nombe (8')
Rafferty (30'), Kelly (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Stevenage and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Birmingham
Thursday, April 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Rotherham
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 1-2 Rotherham United

Rotherham United have seen their momentum slow down in recent weeks, but the Millers do appear to have turned a corner under Matt Hamshaw and have the quality to end their season on an improved note starting with an away win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
StevenageDrawRotherham United
40.79% (0.047000000000004 0.05) 27.68% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 31.53% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.01% (0.07 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.35% (0.091999999999999 0.09)57.64% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.59% (0.074999999999999 0.07)78.4% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26% (0.067999999999998 0.07)27.74% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.69% (0.089999999999996 0.09)63.3% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.44% (0.034000000000006 0.03)33.55% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.8% (0.035 0.04)70.2% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 40.78%
    Rotherham United 31.52%
    Draw 27.68%
StevenageDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 11.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.65% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 3.57% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.27% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 40.78%
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.31% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 10.16% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 31.52%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Rotherham

Stevenage
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Rotherham United
40.0%
45
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Rotherham
2-0
Stevenage
Hugill (70'), Wilks (73')
Odofin (25'), Tiehi (45'), Rafferty (90+1')

Freestone (49'), King (55'), Presley (90+2')
Feb 15, 2014 3pm
Nov 16, 2013 3pm
Jan 25, 2011 3pm
Oct 9, 2010 3pm
Rotherham
1-1
Stevenage
Law (45')
Newey (36'), Fenton (59')
Mousinho (82')
Henry (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham443293803050105
2Wrexham452611865343189
3Stockport CountyStockport452412969412884
4Wycombe WanderersWycombe452412969422784
5Charlton AthleticCharlton4524101164422282
6Leyton Orient452361668472175
7Reading4521121266531375
8Bolton WanderersBolton45207186669-367
9Blackpool4416161268571164
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45197195751664
11Lincoln CityLincoln4516131664541061
12Barnsley451610196571-658
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham451511195258-656
14Stevenage451511194149-856
15Exeter CityExeter451511194962-1356
16Wigan AthleticWigan441315163840-254
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough441312196575-1051
18Northampton TownNorthampton451214194765-1850
19Mansfield TownMansfield44139225371-1848
20Burton Albion441113204762-1546
21Crawley TownCrawley451110245582-2743
22Bristol Rovers45127264372-2943
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge45911254471-2738
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4589284077-3733


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