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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 38
Apr 24, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Birmingham logo

Stevenage
0 - 1
Birmingham


Phillips (24'), Wildin (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cochrane (75')
Dowell (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Stevenage and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-1 Stevenage
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 1-2 Birmingham City

With nothing tangible at stake for both Stevenage and Birmingham, we are expecting a relaxed atmosphere at the Lamex Stadium on Thursday night. An open contest would surely suit title-winning Blues, who look set to smash past the 100-point mark in front of a sold-out away following. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 19.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-0 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Birmingham City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Birmingham City.

Result
StevenageDrawBirmingham City
19.77% (-0.268 -0.27) 24.38% (-0.25 -0.25) 55.85% (0.525 0.52)
Both teams to score 47.25% (0.308 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.5% (0.624 0.62)53.5% (-0.61799999999999 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.98% (0.524 0.52)75.02% (-0.517 -0.52)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.37% (0.062999999999995 0.06)41.63% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.89% (0.055 0.05)78.11% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.95% (0.443 0.44)19.05% (-0.439 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.37% (0.728 0.73)50.64% (-0.722 -0.72)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 19.77%
    Birmingham City 55.84%
    Draw 24.38%
StevenageDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 6.95% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-1 @ 5.05% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.05% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.22% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 19.77%
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.93% (-0.194 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.19% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 13.14% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-2 @ 10.9% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.55% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-3 @ 6.03% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 5.28% (0.098999999999999 0.1)
0-4 @ 2.5% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.19% (0.071 0.07)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 55.84%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Birmingham

Stevenage
20.4%
Draw
9.3%
Birmingham City
70.4%
54
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Birmingham
2-1
Stevenage
Dowell (27' pen.), Seung-ho (47')
Iwata (61'), Stansfield (64'), Cochrane (90'), Allsop (90')
Young (90+4')
Phillips (90')
Feb 4, 2025 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Stevenage
0-1
Birmingham

Thompson (59'), Piergianni (79')
Stansfield (83')
Iwata (78'), Stansfield (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham443293803050105
2Wrexham452611865343189
3Stockport CountyStockport452412969412884
4Wycombe WanderersWycombe452412969422784
5Charlton AthleticCharlton4524101164422282
6Leyton Orient452361668472175
7Reading4521121266531375
8Bolton WanderersBolton45207186669-367
9Blackpool4416161268571164
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45197195751664
11Lincoln CityLincoln4516131664541061
12Barnsley451610196571-658
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham451511195258-656
14Stevenage451511194149-856
15Exeter CityExeter451511194962-1356
16Wigan AthleticWigan441315163840-254
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough441312196575-1051
18Northampton TownNorthampton451214194765-1850
19Mansfield TownMansfield44139225371-1848
20Burton Albion441113204762-1546
21Crawley TownCrawley451110245582-2743
22Bristol Rovers45127264372-2943
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge45911254471-2738
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4589284077-3733


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