League One

League One | Gameweek 44

Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
1 - 2
Birmingham

Tavares (90+4')
Delap (84')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Sampsted (44'), Stansfield (45+2')
Anderson (89'), Klarer (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Burton Albion
Friday, April 18 at 1pm in League One

Goals
for

Birmingham City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Crawley
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.87%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Birmingham City
16.74% ( 0.06)	21.21% ( -0)	62.04% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 51.46% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.95% (

0.11)

45.05% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.6% (

0.11)

67.4% (

-0.11)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.81% (

0.14)

40.19% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.17% (

0.13)

76.82% (

-0.13)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.04% (

0.02)

13.96% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.55% (

0.03)

41.45% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 16.74%

Birmingham City 62.03%

Draw 21.21%

Burton Albion	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 5.12% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 16.74%	1-1 @ 10.07% 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.21%	0-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 10.87% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7.14% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.51% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.38% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 62.03%