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League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Birmingham logo

Northampton
1 - 1
Birmingham

Iwata (17' og.)
Burge (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Anderson (45+2')
Stansfield (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Northampton
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Stevenage
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 1-2 Birmingham City

Northampton have definitely improved under Nolan, and the eight-point cushion between themselves and the relegation zone will come in handy this weekend as they are unlikely to take anything against Birmingham. However, the Blues have not been as infallible away from St Andrews' recently, and they may have to work for their points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 62.34%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 15.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.04%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawBirmingham City
15.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 22% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 62.34% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 46.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.73% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)50.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)72.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.25% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)44.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.27% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)80.73% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.41% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)15.58% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.45% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)44.55% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 15.65%
    Birmingham City 62.33%
    Draw 22%
Northampton TownDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 5.61%
2-1 @ 4.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.12% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 15.65%
1-1 @ 10.42%
0-0 @ 6.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 22%
0-1 @ 12.96%
0-2 @ 12.04%
1-2 @ 9.69%
0-3 @ 7.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 6%
0-4 @ 3.47%
1-4 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 1.12%
1-5 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 62.33%

How you voted: Northampton vs Birmingham

Northampton Town
18.8%
Draw
6.3%
Birmingham City
75.0%
16
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 15
Birmingham
1-1
Northampton
Stansfield (58')
Allsop (90+2')
Pinnock (90+6')
Guthrie (41'), McGeehan (60'), Allsop (90+1')
Jul 19, 2023 7.45pm
Club Friendlies
Northampton
0-1
Birmingham
James (31')
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Northampton
3-2
Birmingham
Pinnock (12'), Kabamba (23'), Chukwuemeka (68')
Sanchez (2'), Jutkiewicz (38')
Jul 21, 2015 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Northampton
2-2
Birmingham
Adams (45', 59')
Gray (3'), Novak (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham42309375304599
2Wrexham442511862342886
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe442412869412884
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4424101064392582
5Stockport CountyStockport442312966392781
6Leyton Orient442261667472072
7Reading4420121264531172
8Bolton WanderersBolton44206186568-366
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44197185648864
10Blackpool4316151267561163
11Lincoln CityLincoln4416131562511161
12Barnsley441610186469-558
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham441510195157-655
14Stevenage431510184047-755
15Wigan AthleticWigan431314163739-253
16Exeter CityExeter441411194661-1553
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough431311196474-1050
18Northampton TownNorthampton441214184762-1550
19Mansfield TownMansfield43139215367-1448
20Burton Albion431013204561-1643
21Bristol Rovers44127254370-2743
22Crawley TownCrawley441010245282-3040
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge44911244369-2638
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4479283876-3830


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