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Leyton Orient
League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Brisbane Road
Northampton Town

Leyton Orient
1 - 2
Northampton

Kelman (60')
Simpson (44')
FT(HT: 0-2)
T (11'), McGeehan (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Leyton Orient and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 1-0 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 1-1 Stockport
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Leyton Orient 2-0 Northampton Town

Orient may have lost four on the bounce ahead of this weekend's clash, but they will know the importance of taking all three points having fallen behind in the race for promotion. Expect Northampton to put up a fight given the threat of relegation looming close behind them, but considering the strength of their home record, the O's should get the win in front of their own crowd. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 18.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawNorthampton Town
56.59% (-0.364 -0.36) 24.6% (0.144 0.14) 18.81% (0.221 0.22)
Both teams to score 45.18% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.54% (-0.249 -0.25)55.46% (0.251 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.35% (-0.203 -0.2)76.65% (0.206 0.21)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.49% (-0.236 -0.24)19.52% (0.238 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.6% (-0.387 -0.39)51.41% (0.389 0.39)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.14% (0.113 0.11)43.86% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.99% (0.091000000000001 0.09)80.01% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 56.58%
    Northampton Town 18.81%
    Draw 24.59%
Leyton OrientDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 13.98% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.42% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.22% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.13% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.54% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 56.58%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.56% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 24.59%
0-1 @ 7.06% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 4.75% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.91% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 18.81%

How you voted: Leyton Orient vs Northampton

Leyton Orient
58.3%
Draw
25.0%
Northampton Town
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Northampton
1-0
Leyton Orient
McGeehan (48')
Baldwin (55'), Pinnock (84'), Guthrie (90+3')

Galbraith (10'), Agyei (35'), James (56')
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Leyton Orient
4-3
Northampton
O'Neill (35'), Forde (58'), Sotiriou (80', 90+7')
El Mizouni (21'), Brown (41')
Leonard (45+1'), Bowie (77'), Simpson (83')
Brady (22'), Gape (31'), Guthrie (90+6')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Northampton
2-2
Leyton Orient
Hoskins (49', 52' pen.)
Burge (81')
Bowie (58')
Hunt (14'), Forde (90+6')
Happe (10'), Cooper (19'), Turns (90+7')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham40298373294495
2Wrexham422410859322782
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe422312767373081
4Stockport CountyStockport422211963372677
5Charlton AthleticCharlton4222101058382076
6Reading421912115951869
7Leyton Orient422061661431866
8Bolton WanderersBolton42206166362166
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield421971654441064
10Blackpool4115151163531060
11Barnsley42169176064-457
12Lincoln CityLincoln421413155749855
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham42159184853-554
14Stevenage411410173844-652
15Exeter CityExeter421410184558-1352
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough41139196272-1048
17Wigan AthleticWigan411114163539-447
18Mansfield TownMansfield41138204959-1047
19Northampton TownNorthampton421114174259-1747
20Burton Albion411012194459-1542
21Bristol Rovers42126244268-2642
22Crawley TownCrawley4299244981-3236
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge42811234066-2635
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4279263771-3430


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