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League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Leyton Orient

Northampton
1 - 0
Leyton Orient

McGeehan (48')
Baldwin (55'), Pinnock (84'), Guthrie (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Galbraith (10'), Agyei (35'), James (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Leyton Orient

Having claimed just two league wins apiece, Northampton and Leyton Orient will both be desperate to claim all three points in Saturday's contest. However, with wins proving to be hard to come by, we think that the two sides could share the spoils in a cagey contest at Sixfields. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawLeyton Orient
26.87% (0.029 0.03) 25.16% (0.0019999999999989 0) 47.98% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.01% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.05% (0.018999999999998 0.02)49.95% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.06% (0.016999999999999 0.02)71.94% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.97% (0.032000000000011 0.03)33.03% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.38% (0.032 0.03)69.62% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)20.84% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)53.53% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 26.87%
    Leyton Orient 47.97%
    Draw 25.15%
Northampton TownDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 7.63% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 6.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.22% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 2.45% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 26.87%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.88% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 10.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.46% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 47.97%

How you voted: Northampton vs Leyton Orient

Northampton Town
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Leyton Orient
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Leyton Orient
4-3
Northampton
O'Neill (35'), Forde (58'), Sotiriou (80', 90+7')
El Mizouni (21'), Brown (41')
Leonard (45+1'), Bowie (77'), Simpson (83')
Brady (22'), Gape (31'), Guthrie (90+6')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Northampton
2-2
Leyton Orient
Hoskins (49', 52' pen.)
Burge (81')
Bowie (58')
Hunt (14'), Forde (90+6')
Happe (10'), Cooper (19'), Turns (90+7')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Leyton Orient
2-4
Northampton
Archibald (45+1'), Brown (50')
Ogie (84')
Pinnock (19'), Guthrie (32'), Eppiah (38', 45+3')
Hoskins (29'), McWilliams (41'), Pinnock (43'), Sowerby (75'), Rose (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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