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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Leyton Orient

Lincoln
2 - 1
Leyton Orient

Makama (47'), Draper (77')
Erhahon (19'), Roughan (66'), Jefferies (67'), Hamilton (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Agyei (81')
Simpson (30'), Ball (50'), Pratley (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 1-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-1 Exeter
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 2-1 Leyton Orient

With Leyton Orient having only lost once in five outings, Lincoln may not have it all their own way this weekend. Nevertheless, we are backing the home side to come through with another maximum points that could see them edge into the automatic promotion spots. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lincoln City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lincoln City.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawLeyton Orient
44.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 26.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 28.17% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.49% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.72% (0.010000000000005 0.01)56.27% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.68% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)77.31% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)24.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37% (0.00099999999999767 0)59.62% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.63% (0.013000000000005 0.01)35.36% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.88% (0.013000000000002 0.01)72.12% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 44.85%
    Leyton Orient 28.17%
    Draw 26.96%
Lincoln CityDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 12.25%
2-1 @ 8.83%
2-0 @ 8.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 44.85%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 8.83% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 9.18%
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 28.17%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Leyton Orient

Lincoln City
74.2%
Draw
6.5%
Leyton Orient
19.4%
31
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Lincoln
1-0
Leyton Orient
Makama (90')
Hackett (19')

Sanders (55'), Brown (68'), Sotiriou (73')
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Leyton Orient
0-1
Lincoln

Wellens (35'), Cooper (70'), Happe (78')
Hamilton (89')
Hamilton (34'), Eyoma (53')
Apr 22, 2006 3pm
Lincoln
1-1
Leyton Orient
Forrester (36')
Mackie (2')
Simpson (34'), Zakuani (60'), Alexander (62')
Oct 15, 2005 3pm
Leyton Orient
1-1
Lincoln
Alexander (18')
Butcher (70')
Cryan (80'), Beevers (83')
Feb 22, 2005 3pm
Leyton Orient
1-1
Lincoln
Mackie (83')
Yeo (3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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