EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Third Round

Sep 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford
3 - 1
Leyton Orient

Carvalho (17'), Damsgaard (26'), Norgaard (45')
Norgaard (60')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Cooper (11')
Donley (39'), Simpson (42')
Simpson (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Brentford and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Man City 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Leyton Orient

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Reading 0-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Brentford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brentford.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Leyton Orient
46.19% ( -1.93)	24.07% ( 0.59)	29.74% ( 1.35)

Both teams to score 58.67% (

-1.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.54% (

-1.88)

43.46% (

1.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.15% (

-1.87)

65.85% (

1.87)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.01% (

-1.5)

18.99% (

1.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.47% (

-2.55)

50.53% (

2.55)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.42% (

-0.03)

27.58% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.89% (

-0.04)

63.11% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Brentford 46.19%

Leyton Orient 29.74%

Draw 24.07%

Brentford	Draw	Leyton Orient
2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 4% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.29% Total : 46.19%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.42) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.07%	1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.24) 0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.54) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.34) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.89% Total : 29.74%