Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Southampton |
29.48% (![]() | 23.28% | 47.24% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.33% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.11% (![]() | 39.89% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.75% (![]() | 62.25% (![]() |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.05% (![]() | 25.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.04% (![]() | 60.96% (![]() |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.82% (![]() | 17.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.57% (![]() | 47.43% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | Southampton |
2-1 @ 7.14% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.01% 2-0 @ 4.06% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.37% Total : 29.48% | 1-1 @ 10.59% 2-2 @ 6.29% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.46% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.66% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 9.33% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.85% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.92% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.48% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.06% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.7% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.63% ( ![]() Other @ 4.07% Total : 47.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Liverpool | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 84 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72 | 44 | 28 | 71 |
4 | Chelsea | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 69 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 66 |
6 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 66 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 65 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 61 |
9 | Bournemouth | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 56 |
10 | Brentford | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 66 | 57 | 9 | 56 |
11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 54 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 53 |
13 | Everton | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 48 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 43 |
15 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 42 |
16 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 42 |
17 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 38 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 25 |
R | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 82 | -46 | 22 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 12 |
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