EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Second Round

Aug 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

JobServe Community Stadium

Colchester
0 - 1
Brentford

Ihionvien (71'), Tovide (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lewis-Potter (45+1')
Lewis-Potter (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Colchester United and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Harrogate
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Brentford

All competitions

Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Brentford
Sunday, August 25 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Colchester United	Draw	Brentford
36.25% ( -0.55)	24.25% ( -0.13)	39.5% ( 0.67)

Both teams to score 60.44% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.83% (

0.54)

42.17% (

-0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.42% (

0.54)

64.58% (

-0.54)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.92% (

-0.05)

23.08% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.08% (

-0.06)

56.92% (

0.06)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.57% (

0.56)

21.43% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.56% (

0.86)

54.44% (

-0.87)

Score Analysis

Colchester United 36.25%

Brentford 39.5%

Draw 24.25%

Colchester United	Draw	Brentford
2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.25%	1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.25%	1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.64% Total : 39.5%