

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | MK Dons | 
| 35.63% (  1.69) | 24.01% (  0.06) | 40.35% (  -1.75) | 
| Both teams to score 61.23% (  0.17) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 58.89% (  0.05) | 41.1% (  -0.05) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 36.5% (  0.05) | 63.49% (  -0.05) | 
| Colchester United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.08% (  0.95) | 22.92% (  -0.95) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.32% (  1.38) | 56.68% (  -1.38) | 
| MK Dons Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.43% (  -0.77) | 20.57% (  0.77) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.9% (  -1.24) | 53.09% (  1.24) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Colchester United | Draw | MK Dons | 
| 2-1 @ 8.09% (  0.24) 1-0 @ 6.94% (  0.18) 2-0 @ 5.12% (  0.27) 3-1 @ 3.97% (  0.22) 3-2 @ 3.14% (  0.1) 3-0 @ 2.51% (  0.2) 4-1 @ 1.46% (  0.12) 4-2 @ 1.16% (  0.07) 4-0 @ 0.93% (  0.1) Other @ 2.31% Total : 35.64% | 1-1 @ 10.98% (  0.02) 2-2 @ 6.4% (  0.04) 0-0 @ 4.71% (  -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.66% (  0.02) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.01% | 1-2 @ 8.68% (  -0.2) 0-1 @ 7.45% (  -0.2) 0-2 @ 5.89% (  -0.3) 1-3 @ 4.58% (  -0.22) 2-3 @ 3.37% (  -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.11% (  -0.24) 1-4 @ 1.81% (  -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.33% (  -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.23% (  -0.13) Other @ 2.89% Total : 40.35% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 73 | 50 | 23 | 84 | 
| P | Port Vale | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 80 | 
| P | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 64 | 45 | 19 | 78 | 
| 4 | Walsall | 46 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 | 
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 73 | 
| 6 | Notts County | 46 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 49 | 19 | 72 | 
| 7 | Chesterfield | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 70 | 
| 8 | Salford City | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 69 | 
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 68 | 
| 10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 67 | 
| 11 | Bromley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 66 | 
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 71 | 63 | 8 | 62 | 
| 13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 62 | 
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 60 | 
| 15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 60 | 
| 16 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 59 | 
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 58 | 
| 18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 53 | 
| 19 | MK Dons | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 52 | 
| 20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 51 | 
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 50 | 
| 22 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 49 | 
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 42 | 
| R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 36 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
