Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 77.15%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 9.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.99%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-2 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Auxerre |
77.15% (![]() | 13.6% (![]() | 9.25% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.89% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.93% (![]() | 27.07% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.42% (![]() | 47.58% (![]() |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.29% (![]() | 5.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.96% (![]() | 22.04% (![]() |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.33% (![]() | 39.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.66% (![]() | 76.34% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Auxerre |
2-0 @ 9.28% (![]() 3-0 @ 8.86% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.58% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 8.19% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.48% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.34% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.87% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.55% ( ![]() Other @ 5.17% Total : 77.15% | 1-1 @ 5.99% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.97% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 0.22% Total : 13.6% | 1-2 @ 2.77% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.22% 0-2 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.2% Total : 9.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 |
2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 |
4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 |
9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 |
10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 |
12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 |
16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
R | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 |
R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |