Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 77.15%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 9.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.99%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-2 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Auxerre |
| 77.15% ( | 13.6% ( | 9.25% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.93% ( | 27.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.42% ( | 47.58% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.29% ( | 5.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 77.96% ( | 22.04% ( |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.33% ( | 39.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.66% ( | 76.34% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Auxerre |
| 2-0 @ 9.28% ( 3-0 @ 8.86% ( 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 3-1 @ 8.19% ( 1-0 @ 6.48% ( 4-0 @ 6.34% ( 4-1 @ 5.87% ( 3-2 @ 3.79% ( 5-0 @ 3.63% ( 5-1 @ 3.36% ( 4-2 @ 2.71% ( 6-0 @ 1.73% ( 6-1 @ 1.6% ( 5-2 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 5.17% Total : 77.15% | 1-1 @ 5.99% ( 2-2 @ 3.97% ( 0-0 @ 2.26% ( 3-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 13.6% | 1-2 @ 2.77% ( 0-1 @ 2.09% ( 2-3 @ 1.22% 0-2 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 9.25% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 |
| 2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 |
| 6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 |
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 |
| 8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 |
| 9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 |
| 16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
| R | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 |
| R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 |
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