Despite recently securing the title, sitting 23 points clear at the top, and still being unbeaten this season, PSG have not been convincing in the league recently, only narrowly getting the better of Le Havre and Angers, as well as drawing at Nantes, so while they should extend their exceptional run, it could be close.
Nice have a good record here, winning at the Parc des Princes last season, and they certainly have the quality to cause PSG some problems, but they may come up narrowly short.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 65.21%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Nice had a probability of 16.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 3-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Nice win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
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