

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Nice had a probability of 24.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Nice |
| 51.67% ( | 23.4% ( | 24.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.07% ( | 43.93% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.68% ( | 66.31% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.96% ( | 17.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.81% ( | 47.19% ( |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.63% ( | 31.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.26% ( | 67.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Nice |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 1-0 @ 9.46% ( 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 4-1 @ 2.53% 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 4-2 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 3.98% Total : 51.67% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 3-3 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0-2 @ 3.59% ( 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 2.77% Total : 24.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 84 | 31 | 53 | 78 |
| 2 | Marseille | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 55 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 54 |
| 4 | Nice | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 54 |
| 5 | Lille | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 53 |
| 6 | Lyon | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 51 |
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 51 |
| 8 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 45 |
| 9 | Brest | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 44 |
| 10 | Rennes | 30 | 12 | 2 | 16 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Reims | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 31 |
| 15 | Angers | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 30 |
| 16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 33 | 64 | -31 | 27 |
| 17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 33 | 68 | -35 | 27 |
| 18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 22 | 71 | -49 | 15 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
