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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
35.76% (![]() | 26.41% (![]() | 37.83% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.8% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.03% (![]() | 51.97% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.29% (![]() | 73.71% (![]() |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.07% (![]() | 27.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.44% (![]() | 63.56% (![]() |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.27% (![]() | 26.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38% (![]() | 62% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 9.52% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.01% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.07% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.83% Total : 35.76% | 1-1 @ 12.56% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.47% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.85% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.29% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.5% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.65% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 81 |
2 | Port Vale | 45 | 22 | 14 | 9 | 65 | 45 | 20 | 80 |
3 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 21 | 12 | 12 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 75 |
4 | Walsall | 45 | 20 | 14 | 11 | 74 | 54 | 20 | 74 |
5 | Notts County | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 70 |
7 | Salford City | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 62 | 52 | 10 | 68 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 20 | 8 | 17 | 61 | 66 | -5 | 68 |
9 | Chesterfield | 45 | 18 | 13 | 14 | 72 | 54 | 18 | 67 |
10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 16 | 18 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 66 |
11 | Bromley | 45 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 63 |
12 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 62 |
13 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 71 | 63 | 8 | 61 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 45 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 60 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 45 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 60 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 58 |
17 | Gillingham | 45 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 55 |
18 | MK Dons | 45 | 14 | 9 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 51 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 53 | 68 | -15 | 50 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 41 | 60 | -19 | 50 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 51 | 72 | -21 | 49 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 11 | 15 | 19 | 41 | 64 | -23 | 48 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 45 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 41 |
24 | Morecambe | 45 | 10 | 6 | 29 | 39 | 70 | -31 | 36 |
> League Two Full Table |