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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Morecambe
2 - 0
Cheltenham

Garner (66'), Angol (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Jude-Boyd (57'), Bakare (72')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and Cheltenham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Swindon
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 2-0 Cheltenham
Friday, March 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawCheltenham Town
39.2% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02) 26.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 33.85% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.86% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)54.32% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.29% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)75.71% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.94% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)27.06% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.57% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)62.42% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.72%30.27% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.55%66.45% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 39.2%
    Cheltenham Town 33.85%
    Draw 26.93%
MorecambeDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.64% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 39.2%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 8.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.85% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 33.85%

Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 20
Cheltenham
2-0
Morecambe
Jude-Boyd (33'), Miller (74')
Thomas (26'), Bakare (64')

Macadam (64'), Williams (83')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 43
Morecambe
2-1
Cheltenham
Weir (20'), Phillips (47')
May (39')
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Morecambe
1-3
Cheltenham
Leigh (52')
Sercombe (44'), Wright (46'), May (80')
Bonds (9')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Cheltenham
3-1
Morecambe
Sercombe (26'), Joseph (65', 68')
Phillips (38')
O'Connor (52'), Gnahoua (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Doncaster RoversDoncaster4422121069482178
2Port Vale442114963451877
3Bradford CityBradford4421121162431975
4Walsall4420141074532174
5AFC Wimbledon4419131255332270
6Notts County4419121364461869
7Grimsby Town44207176166-567
8Colchester UnitedColchester441618105143866
9Salford City441714135851765
10Chesterfield4417131468531564
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe441517124945462
12Bromley441614145856262
13Swindon TownSwindon441515147062860
14BarrowBarrow441512174947257
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155859-157
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham441512175765-857
17Gillingham441315163945-654
18MK Dons44148225266-1450
19Harrogate TownHarrogate441311204057-1750
20Newport CountyNewport441310215170-1949
21Accrington StanleyAccrington441114195268-1647
22Tranmere RoversTranmere441015193964-2545
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle441011234066-2641
24Morecambe44106283866-2836


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