Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.