MX23RW : Tuesday, April 22 00:57:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Swindon Town

Morecambe
1 - 0
Swindon

Angol (38')
White (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nichols (41')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-0 Accrington
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawSwindon Town
30.11% (-0.072999999999997 -0.07) 25.16% (-0.214 -0.21) 44.73% (0.293 0.29)
Both teams to score 55.21% (0.673 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.9% (0.898 0.9)48.1% (-0.892 -0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.74% (0.817 0.82)70.26% (-0.81099999999999 -0.81)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.34% (0.404 0.4)29.67% (-0.396 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.29% (0.486 0.49)65.71% (-0.48 -0.48)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49% (0.514 0.51)21.51% (-0.507 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.44% (0.78 0.78)54.57% (-0.773 -0.77)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 30.11%
    Swindon Town 44.73%
    Draw 25.15%
MorecambeDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 7.75% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-1 @ 7.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.71% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.93% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 30.11%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.38% (-0.238 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.089 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 9.81% (-0.205 -0.21)
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.53% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.69% (0.094 0.09)
0-3 @ 3.86% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.088 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.8% (0.063 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.036 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 44.73%

Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 17
Swindon
2-3
Morecambe
Drinan (32'), Delaney (49')
Cox (88')
Stott (6'), Tollitt (14'), Hope (78')
Tutonda (11')
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 46
Swindon
3-3
Morecambe
Austin (5', 35'), Kokolo (74')
McCarthy (46')
Adams (15'), Fairclough (21'), Smith (86')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Morecambe
2-2
Swindon
Taylor (31'), Walker (80')
Connolly (33'), Songo'o (54')
Songo'o (55')
Kemp (12'), Austin (57' pen.)
Khan (78'), Kemp (90+5')
Apr 13, 2020 3pm
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 6
Swindon
3-1
Morecambe
Doyle (5', 21'), Yates (17')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Doncaster RoversDoncaster4422121069482178
2Port Vale442114963451877
3Bradford CityBradford4421121162431975
4Walsall4420141074532174
5AFC Wimbledon4419131255332270
6Notts County4419121364461869
7Grimsby Town44207176166-567
8Colchester UnitedColchester441618105143866
9Salford City441714135851765
10Chesterfield4417131468531564
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe441517124945462
12Bromley441614145856262
13Swindon TownSwindon441515147062860
14BarrowBarrow441512174947257
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155859-157
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham441512175765-857
17Gillingham441315163945-654
18MK Dons44148225266-1450
19Harrogate TownHarrogate441311204057-1750
20Newport CountyNewport441310215170-1949
21Accrington StanleyAccrington441114195268-1647
22Tranmere RoversTranmere441015193964-2545
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle441011234066-2641
24Morecambe44106283866-2836


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!