Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 17, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca4 - 1Boavista
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Arouca
Saturday, May 10 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 10 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
31
Last Game: Boavista 1-2 Porto
Sunday, May 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, May 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
23
We said: Arouca 2-1 Boavista
The onus is firmly on Boavista to go out and get a result in this do-or-die clash, but their urgency to push for the win could leave them exposed at the back, which is something Arouca will be looking to exploit. The hosts have had the upper hand in recent meetings, winning the last three league encounters between the sides, including a convincing 3-1 victory in the reverse fixture earlier this season, and we feel they will come out on top again here, ultimately condemning the visitors to relegation. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Boavista |
45.86% ( -0.04) | 26.53% ( -0.19) | 27.6% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 49.4% ( 0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
