

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Boavista |
| 42.58% ( | 27.01% ( | 30.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.52% ( | 55.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.33% ( | 76.66% ( |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.23% ( | 25.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.28% ( | 60.71% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.76% ( | 33.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.15% ( | 69.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 11.61% ( 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 2-0 @ 7.87% ( 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 42.58% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 2-2 @ 4.78% ( Other @ 0.87% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0-2 @ 5.2% ( 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0-3 @ 1.91% ( 2-3 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.4% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 88 | 27 | 61 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 84 | 28 | 56 | 80 |
| 3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 30 | 35 | 71 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 66 |
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 57 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 54 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 47 |
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 46 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 45 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 40 |
| 11 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 38 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 38 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 34 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 29 |
| 16 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 27 |
| 17 | AVS | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 27 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 59 | -35 | 24 |
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