Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benfica 2-2 Arouca
Sunday, April 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, April 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
29
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-1 Farense
Sunday, April 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, April 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
22
We said: Arouca 2-0 Estrela Amadora
Arouca should take confidence from last weekend's result, with their attacking rhythm showing signs of promise ahead of a meeting with an Estrela side that has looked blunt in the final third. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 46.21%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 26.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arouca in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arouca.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
46.21% ( -0.63) | 27.02% ( 0.35) | 26.77% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 47.41% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
