Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Nacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-0 Nacional
Sunday, March 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, March 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
26
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, March 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
21
We said: Nacional 2-0 Estrela Amadora
In the last four of the five meetings between these sides, only one team has found the net, and that trend is expected to persist, with Nacional likely to come out on top with their strong home form, coupled with Estrela's ongoing struggles in front of goal, making the outcome even more likely. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 52.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 22.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
52.4% ( -0.51) | 24.84% ( 0.26) | 22.76% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 49.91% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
