Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Nacional3 - 1Casa Pia
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Nacional
Saturday, March 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-3 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, March 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, March 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
31
We said: Nacional 1-1 Casa Pia
With both teams heading into this fixture on the back of a defeat, there could be some nerves on show at Estadio da Madeira. With that in mind, we can see a low-scoring draw playing out, one that would suit the home side more so than the visitors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 45.37%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Casa Pia |
45.37% ( -0.17) | 25.87% ( 0.06) | 28.75% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.12% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
