

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 69.06%. A draw has a probability of 19.7% and a win for Casa Pia has a probability of 11.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 2-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (13.98%) and 3-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Casa Pia win it is 0-1 (4.6%).
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 69.06% ( | 19.72% ( | 11.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 41.74% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.69% ( | 50.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.75% ( | 72.25% ( |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.5% ( | 13.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.48% ( | 40.52% ( |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.25% ( | 51.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 14.16% ( | 85.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 2-0 @ 14% ( 1-0 @ 13.98% ( 3-0 @ 9.35% ( 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 3-1 @ 6.16% ( 4-0 @ 4.68% ( 4-1 @ 3.09% ( 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 5-0 @ 1.88% ( 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 4-2 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 69.05% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 2-2 @ 3.04% ( Other @ 0.48% Total : 19.72% | 0-1 @ 4.6% ( 1-2 @ 3.03% ( 0-2 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 11.22% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 |
| 2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 72 |
| 3 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 63 |
| 4 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 62 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 48 |
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 47 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 43 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35 |
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 |
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 | Nacional | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 26 |
| 16 | AVS | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 24 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
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