Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 11, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio do Bessa Seculo XXI
Boavista1 - 2Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AVS 1-2 Boavista
Monday, May 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, May 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
22
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Moreirense
Friday, May 2 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, May 2 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
60
We said: Boavista 0-1 Porto
Derbies tend to bring a fierce edge, and this one will be no different, particularly given how much is riding on it for both teams in their respective battles. That said, while Boavista have found new life in recent weeks, Porto remain favourites to win this contest based on their dominant head-to-head record, with the hosts' bluntness on home soil only adding to the visitors' advantage. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.5%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 7.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.78%) and 0-1 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (2.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Porto |
7.95% ( -0.48) | 14.55% ( -0.2) | 77.5% ( 0.68) |
| Both teams to score 46.08% ( -1.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
