Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.58%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Porto |
19.3% (![]() | 23.11% | 57.59% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.26% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.9% (![]() | 49.1% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.83% (![]() | 71.17% (![]() |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.4% (![]() | 39.59% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.72% (![]() | 76.28% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.2% (![]() | 16.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.25% | 46.75% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 6.16% 2-1 @ 5.09% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.57% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.3% | 1-1 @ 10.99% 0-0 @ 6.65% 2-2 @ 4.54% ( ![]() Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.11% | 0-1 @ 11.86% 0-2 @ 10.58% 1-2 @ 9.81% 0-3 @ 6.3% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.83% 0-4 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 2.6% 2-4 @ 1.21% 0-5 @ 1% 1-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.96% Total : 57.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 44 | 12 | 32 | 51 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 49 |
3 | Porto | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 13 | 20 | 45 |
4 | Braga | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 40 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 39 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 32 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 25 |
8 | SC FarenseFarense | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 22 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 21 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 21 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 21 |
14 | Casa Pia | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 20 |
15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 14 |
18 | Vizela | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 13 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |