Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Casa Pia0 - 1Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Farense 0-0 Casa Pia
Monday, April 7 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, April 7 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
34
Last Game: Porto 1-4 Benfica
Sunday, April 6 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, April 6 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
54
We said: Casa Pia 1-2 Porto
Casa Pia have proven to be a tough nut to crack on home soil, even handing Benfica a 3-1 defeat earlier this season, so they are unlikely to roll over easily against Porto. That said, while the visitors have been far from convincing in recent weeks, their strong head-to-head record in this fixture could see them edge a narrow victory, though the hosts are fancied to find the net once more having scored in 14 consecutive home matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 14.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.13%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Porto |
14.06% ( 0.14) | 20.44% ( 0.11) | 65.5% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 47.65% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
