Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2024 at 6pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Casa Pia1 - 2Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Portimonense 2-2 Casa Pia
Sunday, April 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, April 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
29
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Guimaraes
Wednesday, April 17 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Wednesday, April 17 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal
We said: Casa Pia 0-1 Porto
With the race for the European spots still wide open, Porto will know the importance of taking all three points here, as failing to do so could see them drop to fifth place by the end of this weekend. However, Os Dragoes picked up a morale-boosting win over Vitoria in midweek, and we feel they will follow up that result with another victory in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 73.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 9.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.5%) and 0-3 (10.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Porto |
9.19% ( -0.02) | 17.1% ( 0.03) | 73.71% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.52% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
