Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 25.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.