Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 36.28%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.