Segunda Division | Gameweek 40
May 17, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda
Malaga2 - 1Sporting Gijon
Ruiz Rubio (67', 83')
(63'), Francisco Puga Medina (63'), Pastor (84'), Pastor (89')
(63'), Francisco Puga Medina (63'), Pastor (84'), Pastor (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Otero (59')
(77'), Angel (90+3')
(77'), Angel (90+3')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Sporting Gijon.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Eldense 1-0 Malaga
Sunday, May 11 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Sunday, May 11 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Goals
for
for
38
Last Game: Sporting Gijon 2-1 Deportivo
Saturday, May 10 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Saturday, May 10 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Goals
for
for
51
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malaga | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
38.66% ( -0.9) | 28.09% ( 0.1) | 33.25% ( 0.79) |
| Both teams to score 47.26% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
