Segunda Division | Gameweek 38
May 3, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda
Malaga1 - 0Granada
FT(HT: 1-0)
Angel Brau Blanquez (54'), Tsitaishvili (61')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Granada.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Malaga 1-0 Castellon
Sunday, April 27 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Sunday, April 27 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Goals
for
for
37
Last Game: Granada 1-1 Elche
Saturday, April 26 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Saturday, April 26 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Goals
for
for
59
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Malaga win was 1-0 (11.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malaga | Draw | Granada |
33.76% ( 1.13) | 28.88% ( 0.26) | 37.36% ( -1.38) |
| Both teams to score 45.1% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.5% ( -0.73) | 61.5% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.64% ( -0.54) | 81.36% ( 0.55) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.99% ( 0.4) | 34.01% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.31% ( 0.43) | 70.69% ( -0.43) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.35% ( -1.21) | 31.65% ( 1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.94% ( -1.42) | 68.06% ( 1.42) |
| Score Analysis |
Malaga 33.76%
Granada 37.35%
Draw 28.87%
| Malaga | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.76% | 1-1 @ 13.35% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.87% | 0-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.9% Total : 37.35% |
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2023 8pm
Dec 8, 2022 8pm
Jan 17, 2021 11am
