Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 51.9%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.98%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.
