Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 55.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 16.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.8%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.29%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Gijon in this match.
