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Ligue 1

Saint-Etienne
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34
May 17, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Toulouse

St Etienne
2 - 3
Toulouse

Tardieu (38'), Batubinsika (63')
Wadji (30'), Davitashvili (70'), Bouchouari (84')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kamanzi (10'), King (15'), Gboho (58')
Casseres Jr (70'), Restes (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

All competitions
Last Game: Reims 0-2 St Etienne
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Toulouse

All competitions
Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Lens
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 19.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.25%) and 0-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 2-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
Saint-EtienneDrawToulouse
19.04% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)20.81% (-0.388 -0.39)60.14% (0.479 0.48)
Both teams to score 57.4% (1.213 1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.6% (1.673 1.67)39.4% (-1.671 -1.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.26% (1.727 1.73)61.74% (-1.724 -1.72)
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.78% (0.892 0.89)34.22% (-0.889 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.08% (0.943 0.94)70.91% (-0.94199999999999 -0.94)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.26% (0.673 0.67)12.73% (-0.672 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.02% (1.368 1.37)38.97% (-1.367 -1.37)
Score Analysis
    Saint-Etienne 19.04%
    Toulouse 60.14%
    Draw 20.81%
Saint-EtienneDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 5.16% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-0 @ 4.67% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-0 @ 2.51% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 1.85% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 19.04%
1-1 @ 9.63% (-0.269 -0.27)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.115 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.36% (-0.349 -0.35)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.81%
1-2 @ 9.92% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.25% (-0.249 -0.25)
0-1 @ 8.98% (-0.478 -0.48)
1-3 @ 6.82% (0.154 0.15)
0-3 @ 6.36% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.66% (0.169 0.17)
1-4 @ 3.51% (0.166 0.17)
0-4 @ 3.28% (0.077 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.88% (0.132 0.13)
1-5 @ 1.45% (0.103 0.1)
0-5 @ 1.35% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 60.14%

How you voted: St Etienne vs Toulouse

Saint-Etienne
58.3%
Draw
25.0%
Toulouse
16.7%
24
Head to Head
Dec 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Toulouse
2-1
St Etienne
Babicka (55'), Aboukhlal (85')
Sierro (19'), King (49'), Casseres Jr (63')
Stassin (53')
Bouchouari (10'), Abdelhamid (49'), Appiah (61'), Stassin (61')
> Preview
Apr 4, 2020 6.15pm
Gameweek 31
Toulouse
P-P
St Etienne
Sep 15, 2019 4pm
Gameweek 5
St Etienne
2-2
Toulouse
Hamouma (45', 56')
Perrin (37'), Moukoudi (79'), Youssouf (91')
Gradel (15' pen.), Leya Iseka (24')
Apr 28, 2019 4pm
Gameweek 34
St Etienne
2-0
Toulouse
Beric (2', 10')
Debuchy (68')

Sangare (47'), Sylla (83')
Sep 25, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 7
Toulouse
2-3
St Etienne
Gradel (63'), Durmaz (78')
Todibo (87')
Diony (23'), Cabella (66'), Salibur (75')
Monnet-Paquet (21'), Cabella (90')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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