Angers
Angers
AJ Auxerre
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Brest logo
Le Havre
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lens logo
Lille
Lille
Lyon
Lyon
Marseille
Marseille
Monaco
Monaco
Montpellier
Montpellier
Nantes
Nantes
Nice
Nice
PSG logo
PSG logo
Reims
Reims
Rennes
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
May 3, 2025 at 6pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Rennes

Toulouse
2 - 1
Rennes

Gboho (28'), Donnum (82')
Cresswell (14'), Martinez (69'), Restes (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kalimuendo (65')
Rouault (45+2'), Wooh (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 0-0 Toulouse
Sunday, April 27 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 4-1 Rennes
Saturday, April 26 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
ToulouseDrawRennes
32.99% (2.277 2.28)24.68% (0.339 0.34)42.32% (-2.61 -2.61)
Both teams to score 58.12% (-0.171 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.13% (-0.662 -0.66)44.87% (0.667 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.77% (-0.641 -0.64)67.23% (0.646 0.65)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (1.112 1.11)26.19% (-1.107 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71% (1.464 1.46)61.28% (-1.46 -1.46)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74% (-1.436 -1.44)21.26% (1.443 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.83% (-2.279 -2.28)54.17% (2.285 2.29)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 32.99%
    Rennes 42.32%
    Draw 24.68%
ToulouseDrawRennes
2-1 @ 7.74% (0.358 0.36)
1-0 @ 7.46% (0.437 0.44)
2-0 @ 5% (0.438 0.44)
3-1 @ 3.46% (0.262 0.26)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.09 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.23% (0.258 0.26)
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 32.99%
1-1 @ 11.55% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.57% (0.158 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.68%
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.258 -0.26)
0-1 @ 8.62% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-2 @ 6.68% (-0.413 -0.41)
1-3 @ 4.62% (-0.349 -0.35)
0-3 @ 3.45% (-0.379 -0.38)
2-3 @ 3.09% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.222 -0.22)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 42.32%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Rennes

Toulouse
27.8%
Draw
19.4%
Rennes
52.8%
36
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 11
Rennes
0-2
Toulouse

Gouiri (41'), Assignon (44'), Truffert (45+1')
King (14'), Donnum (23' og.)
Casseres Jr (48')
Apr 13, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 29
Rennes
1-2
Toulouse
Doue (20')
Gouiri (60'), Yildirim (88'), Salah (90+1')
Casseres Jr (22'), Diarra (32')
Mawissa (34'), Spierings (81'), Restes (88')
Dec 17, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 16
Toulouse
0-0
Rennes
Dallinga (45'), Costa (51'), Diarra (90+1')
Le Fee (6'), Omari (10')
Feb 12, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 23
Toulouse
3-1
Rennes
Ratao (27'), Aboukhlal (28'), Dallinga (37')
Rouault (55' og.)
Nov 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 15
Rennes
2-1
Toulouse
Bourigeaud (25'), Kalimuendo (58')
Dallinga (55')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616


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