Vasco da Gama
Brasileiro | Gameweek 9
May 17, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Fortaleza

Vasco
3 - 0
Fortaleza

Moreira (3'), Vegetti (46', 80')
Moreira (39'), Gustavo Marinho Ribeiro dos Santos (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Martinez (58')
Marinho (68')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Fortaleza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Lanus 1-0 Vasco
Wednesday, May 14 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Fortaleza

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga
Wednesday, May 14 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawFortaleza
34.1% (1.485 1.49)27.49% (-0.176 -0.18)38.41% (-1.306 -1.31)
Both teams to score 49.21% (0.83 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.57% (0.9 0.9)56.43% (-0.896 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.57% (0.723 0.72)77.43% (-0.718 -0.72)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84% (1.462 1.46)31.17% (-1.457 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.5% (1.668 1.67)67.5% (-1.664 -1.66)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.49% (-0.31800000000001 -0.32)28.51% (0.321 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.72% (-0.4 -0.4)64.28% (0.40199999999999 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 34.1%
    Fortaleza 38.41%
    Draw 27.48%
Vasco da GamaDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 10.35% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.58% (0.272 0.27)
2-0 @ 6.04% (0.269 0.27)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.217 0.22)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.193 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 34.1%
1-1 @ 12.99% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.88% (-0.311 -0.31)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 11.15% (-0.49 -0.49)
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-2 @ 7% (-0.375 -0.38)
1-3 @ 3.41% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.93% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 38.41%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 33
Fortaleza
3-0
Vasco
Martinez (13'), Lopes (78'), Kayzer (90+2')
Rossetto (81')

Jair (57')
Jul 4, 2024 12am
Gameweek 14
Vasco
2-0
Fortaleza
Carvalho (45+3'), Vegetti (63')
Maicon (37'), Moura (52'), David (64'), Piton (83')

Martin Lucero (35'), Titi (65'), Rossetto (67')
Hercules (40')
> Preview
May 22, 2024 1.30am
Third Round 1st Leg
Vasco
3-3
Fortaleza
(Aggregate 3-3 | Vasco win 5-4 on penalties)
Vegetti (17' pen., 65'), Piton (76')
Victor (27'), Payet (71'), Henrique (81')
Marinho (8'), Martin Lucero (54'), Hercules (89')
Marinho (81')
> Preview
May 1, 2024
11pm
Third Round
Fortaleza  
vs.
  Vasco
Oct 19, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 27
Vasco
1-0
Fortaleza
Payet (58')
Pec (3'), Gomes (24'), Carvalho (83')

Escobar (44'), Pikachu (54')
> Preview