Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Vitoria had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Vitoria win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
-0.27) 
0.61) 
