Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 20.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.6%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Vitoria win it was 1-0 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
-2.25) 
2.94) 
