We said: Fortaleza 1-1 Colo-Colo
Both sides come into the match struggling for form, with Fortaleza winless in seven and Colo-Colo managing just one win in their last seven outings.
Neither team has shown enough consistency or cutting edge to suggest a clear winner, which is why we are predicting a hard-fought draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Colo-Colo win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.